The Boom in Indian Housing: A Look at the Numbers

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The Indian real estate industry has experienced a broad-based recovery across all segments since the pandemic, but the residential market has arguably seen the swiftest and steepest resurgence among all real estate segments. Sales volumes in the primary market grew at an annualized rate of 29% since 2020 and culminated a multi-year high in 2024. Market sentiment has been very positive largely due to an upbeat economic outlook with real GDP growth rate for India amongst the highest levels in the world.

Supply vs Absorption PAN India (Residential) - Top 7 cities (₹Lakh Cr

Source: Kalpataru Ltd DRHP.

Due to strong supply and absorption in the Indian residential real estate market, the unsold inventory across the top-7 cities has decreased. Unsold units fell from 6,38,015 in 2020 to 553,073 units in 2024. This has resulted in the inventory overhang dropping to 14 months in 2024, which is the lowest level in the last 6-7 years.

Pan-India Unsold Residential Inventory (no. of units) & Inventory Hangover (in months)

Source: Kalpataru Ltd DRHP.

Leading developers in top 5 cities have shown an increase in share from 17% in FY17 to 34% in FY24, thus highlighting that the branded developers are increasing the share in the market. Concurrently, pre-sales value of companies witnessed substantial growth, soaring from ₹26,046 cr in FY20 to ₹1,04,531 cr in FY25 showing a 32% CAGR. It is mainly increase in number of projects launched by companies due to high demand in market.

Residential Sales Share Analysis - Top 5 cities combined (%)

Source: Kalpataru Ltd DRHP.

 

Pre-sales of Leading Residential Real Estate Players in India:

 

Presales value (In Cr) FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 5Y CAGR
DLF 2,485 3,084 7,273 15,058 14,778 21,223 54%
Macrotech 6,570 5,968 9,024 12,060 14,520 17,630 22%
Prestige Estate 4,561 5,461 10,382 12,931 21,040 17,023 30%
Godrej Properties 5,915 6,725 7,861 12,232 22,527 29,444 38%
Oberoi Realty 1,257 3,279 3,885 5,100 3,944 5,259 33%
Brigade Enterprise 2,377 2,767 3,023 4,108 6,013 7,696 27%
Sobha Developers 2,881 3,137 3,871 5,189 6,643 6,277 17%
Total 26,863 31,116 46,346 68,499 91,794  107,507 32%

Source: Company Reports.

The BSE Realty Index recorded a strong CAGR of 38% between FY20 and FY25. In the same period, the aggregate pre-sales value of key real estate companies demonstrated substantial growth, increasing from ₹26,046 cr in FY20 to ₹1,04,531 cr in FY25, reflecting a 5Y CAGR of 32%.

Pre-sales (in crores) vs. BSE Realty Index

Source: Company presentation, Investing.com

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